Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.239666 0.270704 0.303648 0.341158 0.382619 0.426981 0.477974
2025-08-17 0.195557 0.236941 0.283503 0.339552 0.404962 0.478644 0.567677
2025-08-24 0.164637 0.212083 0.268224 0.339085 0.425630 0.527351 0.655367
2025-08-31 0.140951 0.191933 0.255050 0.338136 0.443726 0.572466 0.740205
2025-09-07 0.125496 0.179629 0.249410 0.344728 0.470134 0.627934 0.839712
2025-09-14 0.110670 0.166063 0.240227 0.345075 0.487478 0.671887 0.926069
2025-09-21 0.098512 0.154522 0.232210 0.345583 0.504109 0.714811 1.012289
2025-09-28 0.088391 0.144590 0.225180 0.346319 0.520315 0.757158 1.098920
2025-10-05 0.080932 0.137669 0.221575 0.351168 0.541913 0.807204 1.197587
2025-10-12 0.075587 0.133331 0.221189 0.360300 0.569652 0.866535 1.311150
2025-10-19 0.069557 0.127216 0.217454 0.363868 0.589042 0.914438 1.410093
2025-10-26 0.064896 0.122816 0.215893 0.370390 0.612811 0.969257 1.520699
2025-11-02 0.061165 0.119821 0.216621 0.380992 0.644088 1.037602 1.655733
2025-11-09 0.055365 0.112610 0.209840 0.379018 0.655618 1.076896 1.749356
2025-11-16 0.050444 0.106430 0.204212 0.378392 0.669004 1.119309 1.849103
2025-11-23 0.045977 0.100586 0.198615 0.377287 0.681313 1.160292 1.947958
2025-11-30 0.043235 0.097729 0.197991 0.384502 0.707439 1.223708 2.083619
2025-12-07 0.039772 0.093061 0.193673 0.384865 0.721942 1.269011 2.192279
2025-12-14 0.036673 0.088776 0.189670 0.385412 0.736589 1.314876 2.303192
2025-12-21 0.033899 0.084852 0.185996 0.386216 0.751539 1.361584 2.416832
2025-12-28 0.031894 0.082357 0.184853 0.391542 0.774538 1.422282 2.555079
2026-01-04 0.030553 0.081185 0.186201 0.401573 0.806275 1.498620 2.721385
2026-01-11 0.028679 0.078587 0.184452 0.405492 0.827036 1.556971 2.859524